Trade of the House

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SELL AOS · April McClain Delaney

A.O. Smith Corporation Common Stock (AOS)

E

Routine managed-account rebalancing

Signal score 28 / 100 — how much this looks like a deliberate, informed position rather than routine portfolio activity.
Inside their committee's jurisdiction
0/32
Isolated decision, not a bulk rebalance
21/22
Small, thinly-followed company
Nobody needs inside information to buy a mega-cap.
7/10
Member's own account
0/8
Committee chair or ranking member
0/8
A name they had never held before
A first purchase is a decision; the ninth purchase of the same holding is a standing order.
0/8
Unusually large for this member
Against their own median trade, not an absolute threshold - and capped, because trades beyond 3x did worse, not better.
0/6
Position size
0/3
Leveraged instrument (option)
0/3

A high grade is not an allegation. Every input is public, and buying into an industry you work on daily is ordinary expertise. What the trade actually returned is deliberately excluded from this score and shown separately below.

It is also not a forecast. Measured across every settled trade, A-graded ones did not beat E-graded ones to any significant degree — the method page prints the table. This score says a trade looks like a decision rather than administration, and nothing more.

The filing it came from

filed in 27 days Within the 30-day notification window.

No matching purchase on file. This member has no earlier disclosed purchase of AOS in this account, so the position was almost certainly opened before these records begin in 2019. About 45% of sales are in this situation.

This is a sale, and the strategy does not act on it. It records the member closing a position; it is not a short signal and not an instruction to sell. Exiting when members disclose selling, rather than at twelve months, cut in-remit alpha from +6.76% to +3.57% — a cost of 6.50 points on the trades it changed. See the method.

This filing disclosed 17 transactions in total, of which 2 share this trade date (06 Mar 2025).

Few other trades share this date, so this reads as a discrete decision rather than a portfolio sweep.

Filed 02 Apr 2025 · source PDF

Same day: MKL

Price

Entry
Latest
$63.36
12 Aug 2026
Since entry
price only

52-week range $55.44 – $79.53. The marker is the entry: the first market open after this filing became public.

A. O. Smith Corporation

A. O. Smith Corporation manufactures and markets residential and commercial gas and electric water heaters, boilers, heat pumps, tanks, and water treatment products in North America, China, Europe, and India. The company offers water heaters for residences, restaurants, hotels, office buildings, laundries, car washes, and small businesses; boilers for hospitals, schools, hotels, homes, apartments, and condominiums, a…

Market cap
$8.5B
1yr target
$70
+11.7% from $62.59
Analysts
11
hold
P/E
17.4
beta 1.16
SectorIndustrials
IndustrySpecialty Industrial Machinery
Analyst range $59 – $84
Employees11,500
InstrumentST
Jurisdiction tags industrials

https://www.aosmith.com

Outside this member's committee jurisdiction (aerospace, agriculture, commodities, technology).

Expressing this with options

An illustration, not a recommendation: the nearest listed expiry to a twelve-month horizon, struck near the money. Chains are live — Yahoo publishes no historical chains, so this is priced today, not when the filing was made, and the move it describes may already have happened.

Loading chain…

Outcome

HeldThis tradeS&P 500Alpha
1m
3m
6m
12m 1yr
18m
24m
36m
48m
60m 5yr

Measured from the first open after disclosure — the earliest anyone reading this could have acted. The highlighted now row sits at its true place in the sequence, so where it falls tells you how long the position has run. The last 9 rows are blank because those windows have not closed yet: this trade was entered —, so anything longer than that is still running.

Other congressional trades in AOS

GradeDateMemberSideAmount
E 25 Sep 2025 Julie Johnson sale $1,001 - $15,000
E 23 Sep 2025 Julie Johnson sale $1,001 - $15,000
E 23 Sep 2025 Julie Johnson purchase $1,001 - $15,000
D 16 Apr 2025 April McClain Delaney sale $1,001 - $15,000
E 10 Apr 2025 April McClain Delaney sale partial $1,001 - $15,000
C 25 Feb 2025 Rob Bresnahan sale $1,001 - $15,000
D 18 Feb 2025 April McClain Delaney sale partial $15,001 - $50,000
E 08 Nov 2024 Jared Moskowitz sale $1,001 - $15,000
C 08 Sep 2023 Lois Frankel sale $1,001 - $15,000
D 14 Jul 2023 Jared Moskowitz purchase $1,001 - $15,000
A 07 Feb 2022 Lois Frankel sale partial $1,001 - $15,000
E 24 Jun 2019 Donna Shalala sale $1,001 - $15,000
E 06 Mar 2019 Donna Shalala purchase $1,001 - $15,000
D 20 Feb 2019 Donna Shalala purchase $1,001 - $15,000