Trade of the House

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SELL MSFT · Shelley M Capito

Microsoft Corporation - Common Stock

C

Mixed signals

Signal score 53 / 100 — how much this looks like a deliberate, informed position rather than routine portfolio activity.
Inside their committee's jurisdiction
32/32
Isolated decision, not a bulk rebalance
13/22
Small, thinly-followed company
Nobody needs inside information to buy a mega-cap.
0/10
Committee chair or ranking member
8/8
Member's own account
0/8
A name they had never held before
A first purchase is a decision; the ninth purchase of the same holding is a standing order.
0/8
Unusually large for this member
Against their own median trade, not an absolute threshold - and capped, because trades beyond 3x did worse, not better.
0/6
Position size
0/3
Leveraged instrument (option)
0/3

A high grade is not an allegation. Every input is public, and buying into an industry you work on daily is ordinary expertise. What the trade actually returned is deliberately excluded from this score and shown separately below.

It is also not a forecast. Measured across every settled trade, A-graded ones did not beat E-graded ones to any significant degree — the method page prints the table. This score says a trade looks like a decision rather than administration, and nothing more.

The filing it came from

filed in 27 days Within the 30-day notification window.

No matching purchase on file. This member has no earlier disclosed purchase of MSFT in this account, so the position was almost certainly opened before these records begin in 2019. About 45% of sales are in this situation.

This is a sale, and the strategy does not act on it. It records the member closing a position; it is not a short signal and not an instruction to sell. Exiting when members disclose selling, rather than at twelve months, cut in-remit alpha from +6.76% to +3.57% — a cost of 6.50 points on the trades it changed. See the method.

This filing disclosed 10 transactions in total, of which 9 share this trade date (17 Oct 2022).

Filed 13 Nov 2022 · source PDF

Same day: UNHJPMLOWLINJNJBLKAAPLAFL

Price

Entry
Latest
$500.72
12 Aug 2026
Since entry
price only

52-week range $352.83 – $538.66. The marker is the entry: the first market open after this filing became public.

Microsoft Corporation

Microsoft Corporation, a technology company, develops and supports a portfolio of technology solutions for individuals and businesses worldwide. It operates through three segments: Productivity and Business Processes, Intelligent Cloud, and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment offers Microsoft 365 Commercial, Enterprise Mobility + Security, Power BI, Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft…

Market cap
$3.7T
1yr target
$567
+15.2% from $492.51
Analysts
53
strong buy
P/E
27.5
beta 1.10
SectorTechnology
IndustrySoftware - Infrastructure
Analyst range $400 – $870
Employees223,000
InstrumentST
Jurisdiction tags technology

https://www.microsoft.com

Inside this member's remit. Their committees cover defenseenergyhealthcareindustrialsmaterialstechnologytelecomtransportutilities

Expressing this with options

An illustration, not a recommendation: the nearest listed expiry to a twelve-month horizon, struck near the money. Chains are live — Yahoo publishes no historical chains, so this is priced today, not when the filing was made, and the move it describes may already have happened.

Loading chain…

Outcome

HeldThis tradeS&P 500Alpha
1m
3m
6m
12m 1yr
18m
24m
36m
48m
60m 5yr

Measured from the first open after disclosure — the earliest anyone reading this could have acted. The highlighted now row sits at its true place in the sequence, so where it falls tells you how long the position has run. The last 9 rows are blank because those windows have not closed yet: this trade was entered —, so anything longer than that is still running.

Other congressional trades in MSFT

GradeDateMemberSideAmount
E 24 Jul 2026 David J. Taylor purchase $1,001 - $15,000
E 24 Jul 2026 David J. Taylor purchase $1,001 - $15,000
B 21 Jul 2026 Shelley M Capito sale partial $15,001 - $50,000
C 25 Jun 2026 Michael Rulli sale $1,001 - $15,000
C 17 Jun 2026 Jared Moskowitz purchase $1,001 - $15,000
C 17 Jun 2026 Jared Moskowitz purchase $1,001 - $15,000
E 16 Jun 2026 Gilbert Cisneros sale partial $15,001 - $50,000
C 16 Jun 2026 Matthew Robert Van Epps sale $1,001 - $15,000
D 11 Jun 2026 Cleo Fields purchase $1,001 - $15,000
D 11 Jun 2026 Cleo Fields purchase $1,001 - $15,000
C 02 Jun 2026 Thomas H. Kean Jr sale partial $1,001 - $15,000
B 19 May 2026 Josh Gottheimer sale $250,001 - $500,000
B 19 May 2026 Josh Gottheimer sale $500,001 - $1,000,000
B 19 May 2026 Josh Gottheimer purchase $250,001 - $500,000
B 19 May 2026 Josh Gottheimer purchase $500,001 - $1,000,000
E 15 May 2026 Gilbert Cisneros purchase $50,001 - $100,000
E 12 May 2026 Jonathan Jackson sale partial $15,001 - $50,000
C 17 Apr 2026 Maria Elvira Salazar purchase $15,001 - $50,000
E 15 Apr 2026 John McGuire purchase $1,001 - $15,000
E 14 Apr 2026 Gilbert Cisneros sale partial $15,001 - $50,000
B 08 Apr 2026 Elizabeth Fletcher sale partial $1,001 - $15,000
E 30 Mar 2026 Alan Armstrong purchase $1,001 - $15,000
C 30 Mar 2026 John Fetterman purchase $1,001 - $15,000
E 27 Mar 2026 Alan Armstrong purchase $15,001 - $50,000
B 27 Mar 2026 John Fetterman purchase $1,001 - $15,000