Trade of the House

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SELL USB · Shelley M Capito

U.S. Bancorp

D

Looks like ordinary portfolio activity

Signal score 33 / 100 — how much this looks like a deliberate, informed position rather than routine portfolio activity.
Inside their committee's jurisdiction
0/32
Isolated decision, not a bulk rebalance
22/22
Small, thinly-followed company
Nobody needs inside information to buy a mega-cap.
3/10
Committee chair or ranking member
8/8
Member's own account
0/8
A name they had never held before
A first purchase is a decision; the ninth purchase of the same holding is a standing order.
0/8
Unusually large for this member
Against their own median trade, not an absolute threshold - and capped, because trades beyond 3x did worse, not better.
0/6
Position size
0/3
Leveraged instrument (option)
0/3

A high grade is not an allegation. Every input is public, and buying into an industry you work on daily is ordinary expertise. What the trade actually returned is deliberately excluded from this score and shown separately below.

It is also not a forecast. Measured across every settled trade, A-graded ones did not beat E-graded ones to any significant degree — the method page prints the table. This score says a trade looks like a decision rather than administration, and nothing more.

The filing it came from

filed in 43 days Towards the 45-day statutory limit.

The position this closes

BoughtDisclosed sizeHeld Returnvs S&P
09 Mar 2021 $1,001 - $15,000 906 d -22.6% -43.5%

What a follower should do: already closed.

The tracked position had already reached its twelve months and been sold on the calendar before this sale was disclosed, so there is nothing to act on.

Matched oldest-lot-first on disclosed value within this account. Filings give a range, never a share count, so the pairing reads the documents rather than reconstructing the portfolio.

This is a sale, and the strategy does not act on it. It records the member closing a position; it is not a short signal and not an instruction to sell. Exiting when members disclose selling, rather than at twelve months, cut in-remit alpha from +6.76% to +3.57% — a cost of 6.50 points on the trades it changed. See the method.

This filing disclosed 5 transactions in total, of which 1 share this trade date (01 Sep 2023).

Few other trades share this date, so this reads as a discrete decision rather than a portfolio sweep.

Filed 14 Oct 2023 · source PDF

Price

Entry
Latest
$65.02
12 Aug 2026
Since entry
price only

52-week range $44.01 – $65.02. The marker is the entry: the first market open after this filing became public.

U.S. Bancorp

U.S. Bancorp, a financial services holding company, provides various financial services to individuals, businesses, institutional organizations, governmental entities, and other financial institutions in the United States. The company operates through Wealth, Corporate, Commercial and Institutional Banking; Consumer and Business Banking; Payment Services; and Treasury and Corporate Support segments. It offers deposit…

Market cap
$101.3B
1yr target
$70
+8.1% from $65.02
Analysts
22
buy
P/E
13.0
beta 0.98
SectorFinancial Services
IndustryBanks - Regional
Analyst range $65 – $77
Employees70,000
InstrumentST
Jurisdiction tags financials

https://www.usbank.com

Outside this member's committee jurisdiction (defense, energy, healthcare, industrials, materials, technology, telecom, transport, utilities).

Expressing this with options

An illustration, not a recommendation: the nearest listed expiry to a twelve-month horizon, struck near the money. Chains are live — Yahoo publishes no historical chains, so this is priced today, not when the filing was made, and the move it describes may already have happened.

Loading chain…

Outcome

HeldThis tradeS&P 500Alpha
1m
3m
6m
12m 1yr
18m
24m
36m
48m
60m 5yr

Measured from the first open after disclosure — the earliest anyone reading this could have acted. The highlighted now row sits at its true place in the sequence, so where it falls tells you how long the position has run. The last 9 rows are blank because those windows have not closed yet: this trade was entered —, so anything longer than that is still running.

Other congressional trades in USB

GradeDateMemberSideAmount
D 26 Sep 2025 Gilbert Cisneros sale $1,001 - $15,000
E 23 Sep 2025 Valerie Hoyle sale $1,001 - $15,000
C 10 Mar 2025 Carol Devine Miller sale $1,001 - $15,000
E 29 Oct 2024 Valerie Hoyle purchase $1,001 - $15,000
C 26 Sep 2024 Ritchie John Torres purchase $1,001 - $15,000
B 11 Apr 2024 Mike Kelly sale $1,001 - $15,000
E 14 Dec 2023 Jerry Moran, sale $1,001 - $15,000
E 14 Dec 2023 Jerry Moran, sale $1,001 - $15,000
E 12 Jul 2023 Daniel Goldman sale $15,001 - $50,000
E 26 May 2023 Zoe Lofgren sale $1,001 - $15,000
E 10 Apr 2023 Daniel Goldman purchase $15,001 - $50,000
D 20 Mar 2023 Angus S King, Jr. sale $1,001 - $15,000
C 14 Mar 2023 Michael K. Simpson purchase $15,001 - $50,000
E 06 Mar 2023 Daniel Goldman sale partial $1,001 - $15,000
E 31 Jan 2023 Daniel Goldman purchase $1,001 - $15,000
D 14 Mar 2022 Earl Blumenauer sale $1,001 - $15,000
D 24 Feb 2022 Earl Blumenauer purchase $1,001 - $15,000
E 17 Feb 2022 John Rutherford sale $1,001 - $15,000
D 21 Dec 2021 Jerry Moran, sale partial $1,001 - $15,000
C 21 Dec 2021 Jerry Moran, sale partial $1,001 - $15,000
E 18 Nov 2021 Peter Welch sale $15,001 - $50,000
D 24 Jun 2021 Shelley M Capito purchase $1,001 - $15,000
D 02 Jun 2021 Lois Frankel sale $1,001 - $15,000
D 27 May 2021 Lois Frankel sale partial $1,001 - $15,000
D 26 May 2021 Lois Frankel sale partial $1,001 - $15,000