Trade of the House

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SELL PSX · Shelley M Capito

Phillips 66

C

Mixed signals

Signal score 55 / 100 — how much this looks like a deliberate, informed position rather than routine portfolio activity.
Inside their committee's jurisdiction
32/32
Isolated decision, not a bulk rebalance
12/22
Small, thinly-followed company
Nobody needs inside information to buy a mega-cap.
3/10
Committee chair or ranking member
8/8
Member's own account
0/8
A name they had never held before
A first purchase is a decision; the ninth purchase of the same holding is a standing order.
0/8
Unusually large for this member
Against their own median trade, not an absolute threshold - and capped, because trades beyond 3x did worse, not better.
0/6
Position size
0/3
Leveraged instrument (option)
0/3

A high grade is not an allegation. Every input is public, and buying into an industry you work on daily is ordinary expertise. What the trade actually returned is deliberately excluded from this score and shown separately below.

It is also not a forecast. Measured across every settled trade, A-graded ones did not beat E-graded ones to any significant degree — the method page prints the table. This score says a trade looks like a decision rather than administration, and nothing more.

The filing it came from

filed in 27 days Within the 30-day notification window.

The position this closes

BoughtDisclosed sizeHeld Returnvs S&P
31 Dec 2020 $1,001 - $15,000 1478 d +101.9% +32.7%

What a follower should do: already closed.

The tracked position had already reached its twelve months and been sold on the calendar before this sale was disclosed, so there is nothing to act on.

Matched oldest-lot-first on disclosed value within this account. Filings give a range, never a share count, so the pairing reads the documents rather than reconstructing the portfolio.

This is a sale, and the strategy does not act on it. It records the member closing a position; it is not a short signal and not an instruction to sell. Exiting when members disclose selling, rather than at twelve months, cut in-remit alpha from +6.76% to +3.57% — a cost of 6.50 points on the trades it changed. See the method.

This filing disclosed 12 transactions in total, of which 10 share this trade date (17 Jan 2025).

Filed 13 Feb 2025 · source PDF

Same day: JPMMSFTLOWITWGWWCBBLKAAPLAFL

Price

Entry
Latest
$225.58
12 Aug 2026
Since entry
price only

52-week range $118.52 – $225.58. The marker is the entry: the first market open after this filing became public.

Phillips 66

Phillips 66 operates as an integrated downstream energy provider in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. It operates through five segments: Midstream, Chemicals, Refining, Marketing and Specialties (M&S), and Renewable Fuels. The Midstream segment provides crude oil and refined petroleum product transportation, terminaling, and storage services, as well as natural gas and natural gas l…

Market cap
$90.0B
1yr target
$217
-3.8% from $225.58
Analysts
19
buy
P/E
12.8
beta 0.69
SectorEnergy
IndustryOil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Analyst range $160 – $255
Employees12,600
InstrumentST
Jurisdiction tags energy

https://www.phillips66.com

Inside this member's remit. Their committees cover defenseenergyhealthcareindustrialsmaterialstechnologytelecomtransportutilities

Expressing this with options

An illustration, not a recommendation: the nearest listed expiry to a twelve-month horizon, struck near the money. Chains are live — Yahoo publishes no historical chains, so this is priced today, not when the filing was made, and the move it describes may already have happened.

Loading chain…

Outcome

HeldThis tradeS&P 500Alpha
1m
3m
6m
12m 1yr
18m
24m
36m
48m
60m 5yr

Measured from the first open after disclosure — the earliest anyone reading this could have acted. The highlighted now row sits at its true place in the sequence, so where it falls tells you how long the position has run. The last 9 rows are blank because those windows have not closed yet: this trade was entered —, so anything longer than that is still running.

Other congressional trades in PSX

GradeDateMemberSideAmount
E 27 Mar 2026 Alan Armstrong sale $50,001 - $100,000
D 12 May 2025 Jefferson Shreve sale $15,001 - $50,000
C 07 Apr 2025 Jefferson Shreve purchase $15,001 - $50,000
E 15 Oct 2024 Greg Landsman sale $15,001 - $50,000
A 17 Aug 2023 Robert J. Wittman sale $1,001 - $15,000
B 21 Jul 2023 Michael C. Burgess sale $15,001 - $50,000
A 05 Apr 2023 Michael C. Burgess purchase $15,001 - $50,000
E 31 Jan 2023 Kevin Hern sale $1,001 - $15,000
C 25 Apr 2022 Virginia Foxx sale $50,001 - $100,000
E 17 Feb 2022 John Rutherford sale $1,001 - $15,000
E 25 Jun 2021 Kevin Hern purchase $15,001 - $50,000
C 16 Feb 2021 Mr. Peter Meijer sale $1,001 - $15,000
B 31 Dec 2020 Shelley M Capito purchase $1,001 - $15,000
E 20 Nov 2020 Joseph D. Morelle sale $1,001 - $15,000
D 19 Oct 2020 Josh Gottheimer sale $1,001 - $15,000
E 16 Oct 2020 Josh Gottheimer purchase $1,001 - $15,000
E 15 Sep 2020 Josh Gottheimer sale $1,001 - $15,000
D 27 Jul 2020 Kevin Hern purchase $1,001 - $15,000
D 05 Jun 2020 Josh Gottheimer purchase $1,001 - $15,000
D 15 Apr 2020 Richard W. Allen sale $15,001 - $50,000
C 25 Mar 2020 Michael K. Simpson purchase $1,001 - $15,000
C 09 Mar 2020 William Cassidy purchase $1,001 - $15,000
D 21 Feb 2020 Richard W. Allen purchase $15,001 - $50,000
D 11 Apr 2019 Carol Devine Miller sale $1,001 - $15,000