Trade of the House

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SELL ITW · Shelley M Capito

Illinois Tool Works Inc

B

Deliberate position with a committee link

Signal score 63 / 100 — how much this looks like a deliberate, informed position rather than routine portfolio activity.
Inside their committee's jurisdiction
32/32
Isolated decision, not a bulk rebalance
12/22
Small, thinly-followed company
Nobody needs inside information to buy a mega-cap.
3/10
Committee chair or ranking member
8/8
A name they had never held before
A first purchase is a decision; the ninth purchase of the same holding is a standing order.
8/8
Member's own account
0/8
Unusually large for this member
Against their own median trade, not an absolute threshold - and capped, because trades beyond 3x did worse, not better.
0/6
Position size
0/3
Leveraged instrument (option)
0/3

A high grade is not an allegation. Every input is public, and buying into an industry you work on daily is ordinary expertise. What the trade actually returned is deliberately excluded from this score and shown separately below.

It is also not a forecast. Measured across every settled trade, A-graded ones did not beat E-graded ones to any significant degree — the method page prints the table. This score says a trade looks like a decision rather than administration, and nothing more.

The filing it came from

filed in 27 days Within the 30-day notification window.

No matching purchase on file. This member has no earlier disclosed purchase of ITW in this account, so the position was almost certainly opened before these records begin in 2019. About 45% of sales are in this situation.

This is a sale, and the strategy does not act on it. It records the member closing a position; it is not a short signal and not an instruction to sell. Exiting when members disclose selling, rather than at twelve months, cut in-remit alpha from +6.76% to +3.57% — a cost of 6.50 points on the trades it changed. See the method.

This filing disclosed 12 transactions in total, of which 10 share this trade date (17 Jan 2025).

Filed 13 Feb 2025 · source PDF

Same day: PSXJPMMSFTLOWGWWCBBLKAAPLAFL

Price

Entry
Latest
$292.51
12 Aug 2026
Since entry
price only

52-week range $236.58 – $297.32. The marker is the entry: the first market open after this filing became public.

Illinois Tool Works Inc.

Illinois Tool Works Inc. provides industrial products and equipment in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and South America. It operates through seven segments: Automotive OEM; Food Equipment; Test & Measurement and Electronics; Welding; Polymers & Fluids; Construction Products; and Specialty Products. The Automotive OEM segment offers plastic and metal components, fasteners, and assemb…

Market cap
$83.3B
1yr target
$302
+3.2% from $292.51
Analysts
14
hold
P/E
26.5
beta 1.00
SectorIndustrials
IndustrySpecialty Industrial Machinery
Analyst range $249 – $350
Employees43,000
InstrumentST
Jurisdiction tags industrials

https://www.itw.com

Inside this member's remit. Their committees cover defenseenergyhealthcareindustrialsmaterialstechnologytelecomtransportutilities

Expressing this with options

An illustration, not a recommendation: the nearest listed expiry to a twelve-month horizon, struck near the money. Chains are live — Yahoo publishes no historical chains, so this is priced today, not when the filing was made, and the move it describes may already have happened.

Loading chain…

Outcome

HeldThis tradeS&P 500Alpha
1m
3m
6m
12m 1yr
18m
24m
36m
48m
60m 5yr

Measured from the first open after disclosure — the earliest anyone reading this could have acted. The highlighted now row sits at its true place in the sequence, so where it falls tells you how long the position has run. The last 9 rows are blank because those windows have not closed yet: this trade was entered —, so anything longer than that is still running.

Other congressional trades in ITW

GradeDateMemberSideAmount
B 24 Feb 2026 Shelley M Capito sale partial $1,001 - $15,000
E 05 Nov 2025 Richard Dean Dr McCormick purchase $1,001 - $15,000
E 31 Oct 2025 Lisa McClain sale $1,001 - $15,000
E 30 Oct 2025 Lisa McClain purchase $1,001 - $15,000
E 30 Oct 2025 Lisa McClain sale $1,001 - $15,000
E 17 Jun 2025 Lisa McClain purchase $1,001 - $15,000
C 21 Apr 2025 Bruce Westerman sale $1,001 - $15,000
B 08 Apr 2025 Bruce Westerman purchase $1,001 - $15,000
E 07 Apr 2025 Jared Moskowitz purchase $1,001 - $15,000
C 10 Mar 2025 Carol Devine Miller purchase $1,001 - $15,000
A 25 Sep 2024 C. Scott Franklin purchase $50,001 - $100,000
B 25 Sep 2024 C. Scott Franklin purchase $1,001 - $15,000
B 25 Sep 2024 Scott Scott Franklin purchase $1,001 - $15,000
E 04 Sep 2024 John James sale $1,001 - $15,000
E 03 May 2024 Thomas H Tuberville sale $1,001 - $15,000
E 03 May 2024 Thomas H Tuberville sale $1,001 - $15,000
C 10 Nov 2023 John James purchase $1,001 - $15,000
E 17 Oct 2023 Thomas H Tuberville purchase $1,001 - $15,000
C 08 Sep 2023 Lois Frankel sale $1,001 - $15,000
D 11 Apr 2023 Ladda Tammy Duckworth sale $15,001 - $50,000
E 03 Apr 2023 Thomas H Tuberville sale $1,001 - $15,000
E 03 Apr 2023 Thomas H Tuberville sale $1,001 - $15,000
B 22 Mar 2023 Lois Frankel sale partial $1,001 - $15,000
E 15 Mar 2023 Richard Dean Dr McCormick purchase $1,001 - $15,000
D 21 Feb 2023 Jared Moskowitz purchase $1,001 - $15,000