Trade of the House

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SELL CB · Shelley M Capito

Chubb Ltd

E

Routine managed-account rebalancing

Signal score 22 / 100 — how much this looks like a deliberate, informed position rather than routine portfolio activity.
Inside their committee's jurisdiction
0/32
Isolated decision, not a bulk rebalance
12/22
Small, thinly-followed company
Nobody needs inside information to buy a mega-cap.
2/10
Committee chair or ranking member
8/8
Member's own account
0/8
A name they had never held before
A first purchase is a decision; the ninth purchase of the same holding is a standing order.
0/8
Unusually large for this member
Against their own median trade, not an absolute threshold - and capped, because trades beyond 3x did worse, not better.
0/6
Position size
0/3
Leveraged instrument (option)
0/3

A high grade is not an allegation. Every input is public, and buying into an industry you work on daily is ordinary expertise. What the trade actually returned is deliberately excluded from this score and shown separately below.

It is also not a forecast. Measured across every settled trade, A-graded ones did not beat E-graded ones to any significant degree — the method page prints the table. This score says a trade looks like a decision rather than administration, and nothing more.

The filing it came from

filed in 27 days Within the 30-day notification window.

No matching purchase on file. This member has no earlier disclosed purchase of CB in this account, so the position was almost certainly opened before these records begin in 2019. About 45% of sales are in this situation.

This is a sale, and the strategy does not act on it. It records the member closing a position; it is not a short signal and not an instruction to sell. Exiting when members disclose selling, rather than at twelve months, cut in-remit alpha from +6.76% to +3.57% — a cost of 6.50 points on the trades it changed. See the method.

This filing disclosed 12 transactions in total, of which 10 share this trade date (17 Jan 2025).

Filed 13 Feb 2025 · source PDF

Same day: PSXJPMMSFTLOWITWGWWBLKAAPLAFL

Price

Entry
Latest
$343.33
12 Aug 2026
Since entry
price only

52-week range $266.58 – $363.50. The marker is the entry: the first market open after this filing became public.

Chubb Limited

Chubb Limited provides insurance and reinsurance products worldwide. It operates in six segments: North America Commercial Property and Casualty (P&C) Insurance, North America Personal P&C Insurance, North America Agricultural Insurance, Overseas General Insurance, Global Reinsurance, and Life Insurance. The company offers property and general liability, workers' compensation, and umbrella; professional and managemen…

Market cap
$132.5B
1yr target
$365
+6.4% from $343.33
Analysts
23
buy
P/E
12.2
beta 0.39
SectorFinancial Services
IndustryInsurance - Property & Casualty
Analyst range $306 – $425
Employees45,000
InstrumentST
Jurisdiction tags financials

https://www.chubb.com

Outside this member's committee jurisdiction (defense, energy, healthcare, industrials, materials, technology, telecom, transport, utilities).

Expressing this with options

An illustration, not a recommendation: the nearest listed expiry to a twelve-month horizon, struck near the money. Chains are live — Yahoo publishes no historical chains, so this is priced today, not when the filing was made, and the move it describes may already have happened.

Loading chain…

Outcome

HeldThis tradeS&P 500Alpha
1m
3m
6m
12m 1yr
18m
24m
36m
48m
60m 5yr

Measured from the first open after disclosure — the earliest anyone reading this could have acted. The highlighted now row sits at its true place in the sequence, so where it falls tells you how long the position has run. The last 9 rows are blank because those windows have not closed yet: this trade was entered —, so anything longer than that is still running.

Other congressional trades in CB

GradeDateMemberSideAmount
A 01 Jul 2026 Maria Elvira Salazar purchase $15,001 - $50,000
B 01 Jul 2026 Maria Elvira Salazar purchase $15,001 - $50,000
E 15 May 2026 Gilbert Cisneros sale $1,001 - $15,000
E 31 Mar 2026 Jared Moskowitz purchase $1,001 - $15,000
E 27 Mar 2026 Alan Armstrong purchase $1,001 - $15,000
D 26 Mar 2026 Thomas H. Kean Jr sale partial $15,001 - $50,000
E 09 Jan 2026 Gilbert Cisneros purchase $1,001 - $15,000
D 17 Jul 2025 Shelley M Capito sale partial $1,001 - $15,000
D 13 Jun 2025 Rob Bresnahan sale $1,001 - $15,000
B 13 Jun 2025 Josh Gottheimer purchase $1,001 - $15,000
E 12 May 2025 Jefferson Shreve sale $15,001 - $50,000
E 07 Apr 2025 Julie Johnson sale $1,001 - $15,000
E 24 Mar 2025 George Whitesides sale $100,001 - $250,000
E 14 Feb 2025 Julie Johnson sale $1,001 - $15,000
D 24 Jan 2025 Julie Johnson sale partial $1,001 - $15,000
E 04 Sep 2024 John James sale $1,001 - $15,000
D 07 Aug 2024 C. Scott Franklin purchase $50,001 - $100,000
E 07 Aug 2024 Scott Scott Franklin purchase $1,001 - $15,000
D 02 Aug 2024 C. Scott Franklin purchase $1,001 - $15,000
C 08 Jul 2024 Kevin Hern purchase $1,001 - $15,000
E 05 Jul 2024 Jared Moskowitz purchase $1,001 - $15,000
E 02 Jul 2024 Kathy Manning sale partial $1,001 - $15,000
E 02 Jul 2024 Kathy Manning sale partial $1,001 - $15,000
E 02 Jul 2024 Kathy Manning sale partial $1,001 - $15,000
E 23 Jan 2024 Kathy Manning purchase $1,001 - $15,000