Trade of the House

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SELL OTIS · Shelley M Capito

Otis Worldwide Corporation

B

Deliberate position with a committee link

Signal score 66 / 100 — how much this looks like a deliberate, informed position rather than routine portfolio activity.
Inside their committee's jurisdiction
32/32
Isolated decision, not a bulk rebalance
13/22
Small, thinly-followed company
Nobody needs inside information to buy a mega-cap.
5/10
Committee chair or ranking member
8/8
A name they had never held before
A first purchase is a decision; the ninth purchase of the same holding is a standing order.
8/8
Member's own account
0/8
Unusually large for this member
Against their own median trade, not an absolute threshold - and capped, because trades beyond 3x did worse, not better.
0/6
Position size
0/3
Leveraged instrument (option)
0/3

A high grade is not an allegation. Every input is public, and buying into an industry you work on daily is ordinary expertise. What the trade actually returned is deliberately excluded from this score and shown separately below.

It is also not a forecast. Measured across every settled trade, A-graded ones did not beat E-graded ones to any significant degree — the method page prints the table. This score says a trade looks like a decision rather than administration, and nothing more.

The filing it came from

filed in 12 days Inside two weeks - most of the following year was still available to anyone reading the filing.

No matching purchase on file. This member has no earlier disclosed purchase of OTIS in this account, so the position was almost certainly opened before these records begin in 2019. About 45% of sales are in this situation.

This is a sale, and the strategy does not act on it. It records the member closing a position; it is not a short signal and not an instruction to sell. Exiting when members disclose selling, rather than at twelve months, cut in-remit alpha from +6.76% to +3.57% — a cost of 6.50 points on the trades it changed. See the method.

This filing disclosed 10 transactions in total, of which 9 share this trade date (31 Dec 2020).

Filed 12 Jan 2021 · source PDF

Same day: UNHPSXAMTSYYPIIXOMCLXCARR

Price

Entry
Latest
$72.87
10 Aug 2026
Since entry
price only

52-week range $69.34 – $93.06. The marker is the entry: the first market open after this filing became public.

Otis Worldwide Corporation

Otis Worldwide Corporation engages in manufacturing, installation, and servicing of elevators and escalators in the United States, China, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, New Equipment and Service. The New Equipment segment designs, manufactures, sells, and installs a range of passenger and freight elevators, as well as escalators and moving walkways for residential and commercial buildings,…

Market cap
$28.2B
1yr target
$89
+20.9% from $73.97
Analysts
12
buy
P/E
19.0
beta 0.88
SectorIndustrials
IndustrySpecialty Industrial Machinery
Analyst range $75 – $107
Employees72,000
InstrumentST
Jurisdiction tags industrials

https://www.otis.com

Inside this member's remit. Their committees cover defenseenergyhealthcareindustrialsmaterialstechnologytelecomtransportutilities

Expressing this with options

An illustration, not a recommendation: the nearest listed expiry to a twelve-month horizon, struck near the money. Chains are live — Yahoo publishes no historical chains, so this is priced today, not when the filing was made, and the move it describes may already have happened.

Loading chain…

Outcome

HeldThis tradeS&P 500Alpha
1m
3m
6m
12m 1yr
18m
24m
36m
48m
60m 5yr

Measured from the first open after disclosure — the earliest anyone reading this could have acted. The highlighted now row sits at its true place in the sequence, so where it falls tells you how long the position has run. The last 9 rows are blank because those windows have not closed yet: this trade was entered —, so anything longer than that is still running.

Other congressional trades in OTIS

GradeDateMemberSideAmount
E 27 Mar 2026 Alan Armstrong purchase $1,001 - $15,000
E 31 Oct 2025 Lisa McClain sale $1,001 - $15,000
E 30 Oct 2025 Lisa McClain sale $1,001 - $15,000
E 30 Oct 2025 Lisa McClain purchase $1,001 - $15,000
E 04 Aug 2025 Lisa McClain purchase $1,001 - $15,000
D 11 Jul 2025 Ritchie John Torres sale $1,001 - $15,000
D 11 Jul 2025 Ritchie John Torres sale $1,001 - $15,000
C 26 Sep 2024 Ritchie John Torres purchase $1,001 - $15,000
E 04 Sep 2024 John James sale $1,001 - $15,000
A 17 Jul 2024 Gary C Peters sale $1,001 - $15,000
C 10 Nov 2023 John James purchase $1,001 - $15,000
D 18 Jan 2022 Pete Sessions sale $1,001 - $15,000
B 06 Jan 2022 Susan M Collins sale $1,001 - $15,000
D 18 Jun 2021 Debbie Dingell sale $15,001 - $50,000
E 23 Sep 2020 Dean Phillips purchase $1,001 - $15,000
E 16 Sep 2020 Gilbert Cisneros sale $1,001 - $15,000
D 22 Jul 2020 Kevin Hern sale $1,001 - $15,000
E 19 May 2020 K. Michael Conaway sale $1,001 - $15,000
E 24 Apr 2020 David B. McKinley sale $1,001 - $15,000
D 13 Apr 2020 David B. McKinley sale $1,001 - $15,000
B 07 Apr 2020 David E. Price exchange $1,001 - $15,000
B 07 Apr 2020 Sheldon Whitehouse sale $1,001 - $15,000
B 07 Apr 2020 Sheldon Whitehouse sale $1,001 - $15,000
C 03 Apr 2020 Gilbert Cisneros exchange $1,001 - $15,000
D 03 Apr 2020 Debbie Dingell exchange $1,001 - $15,000